The Demographic Transition Model (Stages 1-4)

12 February 2024
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STAGE 1
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Both birth rates and death rates fluctuate at a high level giving a small population growth.
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STAGE 2
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Birth rates are high but death rates decrease rapidly causing rapid population growth.
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STAGE 3
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Birth rates fall rapidly whilst death rates fall slightly causing a slowly increasing population.
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STAGE 4
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Both birth rates and death rates are low, fluctuating slightly, creating a steady population.
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Canada
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Example of a place at stage 4 of the DTM
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China
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Example of a place at stage 3 of the DTM
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Ethiopia
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Example of a place at stage 2 of the DTM
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Stage 5
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Birth rates begin to decrease and death rates stay the same causing a natural increase below zero so the population is decreasing