Stats CH 4-4.3 Complements, Conditional Probability

8 September 2022
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Complements: The Probability of "At Least One"
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"At least one" is equivalent to "one or more." The complement of getting at least one item of a particular type is that you get no items of that type.
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Find probability of getting at least one of some event
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Let A = getting at least one of some event Then ^A = getting none of the event being considered Find P(^A) = probability that event A does not occur Subtract the result from 1: P = 1 - P (no occurrences of event A)
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Conditional Probability
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of an event is a probability obtained with the additional information that some other event has already occurred. Intuitive Approach For Finding: P (B|A) This denotes the conditional probability of event B occurring, given that event A has already occurred. Formal Approach for Finding Conditional Probability: P (B|A) = P (A and B) / P (A) (found by dividing the probability of events A and B both occurring by the probability of event A)
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prior probability
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the probability that an event will occur before obtaining additional evidence regarding its occurrence
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posterior probability
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A probability that is a revision of a prior probability using additional information.