BMC

25 July 2022
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141 test answers

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question
Which driver weakened the Swiss franc? (C)
answer
a) A surprise change in net export expectations b)A surprise change in interest rates expectations c)A surprise change in inflation expectations d)A surprise change in valuation expectations
question
How accurately do GDP portray the economy and why?
answer
Inaccurately because the scope of GDP measurements can change.
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Consider the formula GDP = C+I+G+(X-M). A country is undergoing a boom in consumption of domestic and foreign luxury goods. In one year, the dollar growth in imports is greater than the dollar growth in domestic consumption. Assuming nothing else has changed, what happened to GDP?
answer
It went down
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Here is the most important economic data for Australia and Sweden. which economy did better year-over-year (YOY) in the fourth quarter of 2013 compared to the fourth quarter of 2012? Use the two charts to investigate.
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Sweden performed better
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In the United States, why is there a strong correlation between unemployment and GDP?
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Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. economy when the number of unemployed consumers rises, there is less consumer spending.
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Here is a chart showing both nominal GDP growth and real GDP growth for a country. Which of the following can be a true statement at the time the chart was captured?
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The country has deflation. The bottom line is nominal growth and the top line is real growth.
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Which of the following lines is the best leading economic indicator?
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PMI
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The "misery index" is often cited in the media as a way to measure consumer pain. It is defined as the inflation rate plus the unemployment rate.....
answer
Argentina
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What typically happens to nonfarm payrolls, the PMI indicator, and housing starts at the onset of a recession in the United States?
answer
Nonfarm payrolls go down, the PMI indicator goes DOWN, the housing starts goes down.
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Which of the following qualities of economic indicators do investors prize the most?
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Timeliness of release
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Why is the release of GDP statistics less interesting to investors than the release of other economic indicators?
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Because GDP statistics are released well after other economic indicators.
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Which of the following important U.S. economic indicators is only available on a quarterly basis?
answer
GDP
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Which economic indicator is most directly linked to unemployment?
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nonfarm payrolls
question
Here is the economic calendar for the UK for august 2013. Examine indicators like PMI,......
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Above expectations
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This chart was captured in mid-2014. At that point in time, which of the following terms.....
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Deceleration
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How have economic forecasts for this county evolved?
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Minimal Change
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These charts show data for four countries as of early 2016. For each country, the purple line....
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Russia
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What is the main reason that investment banks create estimates of economic indicators?
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To know when specific economic data points are a positive or negative surprise.
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Which of the following is the biggest pitfall of economic indicators?
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They do not consistently presage turning points.
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Here is a chart displaying estimates of the initial jobless claims indicator, one of the main unemployment....
answer
260
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Which country is the fourth biggest importer and exporter?
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Japan
question
In 1994, the Mexican peso declined against the US dollar during so-called "Tequila Crisis."....
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Both countries had large dollar-denominated debts
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Using the chart given, how many NZD can you buy with 100 AUD?
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107.89
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Allison lives in America and has just retired. It is early 2016.....
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Norway
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Review the currency pair charts for the Barbadian dollar agains the Jamaican dollar......
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Hong Kong dollar against the Macanese pataca
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Which of the following is not an example of a failed peg?
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Hong Kong dollar against the U.S. dollar in 1997.
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Use the cart below to answer the question. How many Danish crown (DKK) will buy 100 (JPY)
answer
5.360
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According to the Big Mac index screen, which of the following four countries' currency is the most undervalued?
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China
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What generally happens when a central bank unexpectedly increases interest rates?
answer
The currency strengthens.
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Which driver weakened the Swiss franc?
answer
A surprise change in inflation expectations
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What does the Big Mac index show?
answer
How currencies may be overvalued or undervalued.
question
Which of the following are short-term drivers of currency valuation?
answer
Surprise changes in interest rates, inflation, and trade
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By what mechanism do interest rates affect currency values?
answer
Global investors are attracted by higher bond yields in high interest rate countries.
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Which of these headlines could move a currency pair?
answer
U.S. Stocks rally on Fed's Surprise reduction of Interest Rate.
question
What is the most common target inflation rate for an advanced economy?
answer
2%
question
What was the primary goal of Abenomics?
answer
To halt the vicious cycle of deflation
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Here is the vicious deflationary cycle. What step connects the lower left gray arrow to the upper right blue arrow?
answer
prices decline
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Were the two oil crises in the 1970s linked to deflation or inflation?
answer
Inflation
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on June 23. 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU.....
answer
They are probably heavy exporters
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In early 2016, the same Germany machinery company has interest from four prospective clients.....
answer
Indonesia
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What is the median estimate for the number of Japanese yen per euro for calendar year 2020?
answer
126
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What is the difference between Norma and RBC's estimate for the Japanese yen/euro...
answer
40 yen
question
Imagine you are a Dutch diamond dealer who sources diamonds from south africa
answer
EUR 4,717 more
question
Why would Jack Welch suggest putting all company plants on barges?
answer
To respond quickly to changes in the currency markets.
question
Samsung is based in South Korea and reports in South Korean won....
answer
Dollar
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Legendary investor Warren Buffett said, "Gold gets dug out of the ground..... Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head." Based on this quotation, what quality of gold is he referring to?
answer
Its storage costs
question
Which of the following options is the best way for investors to manage currency risk?
answer
By locking in forward rates for known foreign payments.
question
What does the Big Mac index show? (A)
answer
a) How currencies may be overvalued or undervalued b) How the Economist magazine estimates inflation c)How the law of one price is true of consumer products d)How interest rates and inflation affect value
question
Which of the following are short-term drivers of currency valuation? (A)
answer
a)Surprise charges in interest rates, inflation, and trade b)Surprise changes in interest rates, inflation, and gold c)Surprise changes in relative prices, trade, and gold d)Surprise changes in relative prices, inflation, and trade
question
By what mechanism do interest rates affect currency values? (C)
answer
a)High interest rates slow an economy and make it less attractive to investors b)Changes in interest rates directly influence the value at which a currency is pegged c)Global investors are attracted by higher bond yields in high interest rate countries d)High interest rates make the currency safer
question
According to the Big Mac index screen, which of the following four countries' currency is the most undervalued? (D)
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a)United States b)Thailand c)Brazil d)China
question
What generally happens when a central bank unexpectedly increases interest rates? (D)
answer
a)The currency weakens, then strengthens. b)The currency strengthens, then weakens. c)The currency weakens d)The currency strengthens
question
What is the most common target inflation rate for an advanced economy? (C)
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a) 3% b) 1% c) 2% d) 0%
question
What is the median estimate for the number of Japanese yen per euro for Calendar year 2020? (D)
answer
a)115 b)163 c)132 d)126
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What is the primary goal of Abenomics? (B)
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a)To strengthen the yen to foster consumption of luxury goods b)To halt the vicious cycle of deflation c)To reduce inflation by increasing unemployment d)To reign in GDP by reducing business confidence
question
Here is the vicious deflationary cycle. What step connects the lower left gray arrow to the upper right blue arrow? (B)
answer
a)Workers demand pay increases b)Prices decline c)Employment declines d)Workers expect prices to increase
question
Were the two oil crises in the 1970s linked to deflation or inflation? (C)
answer
a)Deflation b)Both deflation and inflation c)Inflation d)Neither deflation nor inflation
question
On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union...... (D)
answer
a)They are probably heavy importers b)Their CEOs probably voted to leave the EU c)Their CEOs probably voted to remaining the EU d)They are probably heavy exporters
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In the early 2016, the same Germany machinery company has interest from four prospective clients from emerging markets: Indonesia, Brazil, Russia, and South Africa..... (C)
answer
a)South Africa b)Russia c)Indonesia d)Brazil
question
What is the difference between Nomura and RBC's estimate for the Japanese yen/euro currency pair for the end of Q1 2018? (D)
answer
a)40 percent b)40 dollars c)40 euros d)40 yen
question
Imagine you are a Dutch diamond dealer who sources diamonds from South Africa...... (A)
answer
a) EUR 4,717 more b) EUR 4,717 fewer c) ZAR 4,717 more d) ZAR 4,717 fewer
question
Why would Jack Welch suggest putting all company plants on barges? (A)
answer
a)To respond quickly to changes in the currency markets b) To avoid using any domestic currencies c) To locate the cost base in the most favorable tax regimes d) To purchase materials for the plant more quickly
question
Samsung is based in South Korea and reports in South Korean won.... (A)
answer
a) Dollar b) Euro c) Real d) Yuan
question
Legendary investor Warren Buffett said, "Gold gets dug out of the ground..... Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head." Based on this quotation, what quality of gold is he referring to? (A)
answer
a) Its storage costs b) Its durability c) Its Scarcity d) Its physical attractiveness
question
Which of the following options is the best way for investors to manage currency risk? (D)
answer
a)By investing purely in ver large stocks in their home market b)By investing in pegged currencies c)By vacationing each year in a country with a weak currency d)By locking in forward rates for known foreign payments
question
What do the green bars at the bottom signify? (B)
answer
a) High revenue b) Surplus c) Growth d) Deficit
question
According to the table, who owns approximately 1.3% of actively trades US debt? (D)
answer
a) Canada b) Russia c) India d) Taiwan
question
What quality of U.S. government bonds causes investors to buy them when market volatility rises? (C)
answer
a) US Government bonds are denominated in dollars b) US Government bonds are stored in bank vaults c) US Government bonds are considered low risk d) US Government bonds are underwritten by global taxpayers
question
Why is fixed income called Fixed income?
answer
Because the repayment amounts and timings are fixed for ordinary bonds
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Why does the United States have a strong reputation for creditworthiness?
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because it has the right to tax the wealthiest population on earth
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What is one reason why foreign governments lend to the U.S. government?
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To build liquid FX reserves
question
What does one yellow bar depict in this debt distribution diagram?
answer
Coupon repayment
question
Which one of the following actors benefits when interest rates go up?
answer
An investor who is about to buy bonds.
question
When investors doubt the creditworthiness of a borrower, how do they alter their calculation of the bond yield to take into account these doubts?
answer
Investors do not after the calculation
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As a general rule, what percentage of debt to GDP will make a government's bond yields spike?
answer
There is no general rule
question
What is true of both the U.K. and the U.S.?
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Both countries are highly creditworthy.
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Which would you prefer?
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A 4% annual yield on a credit risk-free 10-year government bond from the mythical country of Utopia.
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Which would you prefer?
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A 5% annual yield on an investment in 10-year U.S. government bonds
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What is the primary reason for U.S. government bond yields to ripple through the bond market?
answer
The large government bond market competes for investors attention via yields
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A rise in which of the following measures would typically send a government bond price up?
answer
Creditworthiness
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How do investors compare bonds?
answer
by comparing the yields of single bonds
question
Which of the following countries shown makes the greatest relative use of short-term government financing?
answer
Norway
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Which of the following is the strongest driver of inflation?
answer
wartime activities
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This chart shows the output gap in the US from 1949 to 1973. What was the output gap in 1973?
answer
+3.0%
question
Here is a chart from the ILBE function displaying US 10-year inflation expectations as of early 2017....
answer
0.0239% above
question
Investors who fear rising inflation may buy Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). How do TIPS shield lenders from inflation?
answer
By compensating investors for inflation
question
What is the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation gauge?
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Core PCE
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Here is the output gap in the US in early 1975. What was likely the fed interest rate policy?
answer
To cut interest rates
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Why does the yield curve naturally slope upwards?
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To compensate leaders for the greater risk of long-term loans compared to short-term loans
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Why did the corporate spread significantly widen during the 2008 market crash?
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Corporate bond issuers go bankrupt more frequently then governments, as they do no have a tax base to fall back on in hard times
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What impact will a tightening of the corporate spread most likely have on a company?`
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A tendency to expand the borrowing capacity of the company.
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What are the three main transmission mechanisms by which the yield curve affects the economy?
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Corporate impact, global impact, consumer impact.
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What is the 10-year to 3-month term premium of the following yield curve?
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2.398%
question
The purchase of which of the following products is most affected by interest rates?
answer
A house
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What is the primary driver of the left-hand end of the yield curve?
answer
Central bank interest rates
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Which yield curve is most likely linked to a booming economy
answer
B
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Why does the yield curve tend to invert shortly before a recession?
answer
An inverted yield curve means that bond traders are predicting interest rate cuts, and interest rate cuts happen in response to a recession.
question
The two yield curves in the chart are from September 10, 2001 (yellow) and October 10, 2001 (green)......
answer
Cut interest rates
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Why do companies do IPOs?
answer
IPOs incentivize entrepreneurs to innovate as IPOs provide a way for entrepreneurs to monetize their work.
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Why do company manager-owners smile when they ring the stock exchange bell at their IPO?
answer
an IPO crystallizes the value of the manager-owners stake.
question
The Dow Jones industrial average index has an unusual weighting methodology. Unlike the S&P 500, it is weighted by share price.....
answer
Goldman Sachs
question
Here is a chart of the index value for the S&P 500 and the United Kingdom's main equity index the FTSE 100, from the end of 2008 to early 2015.....
answer
The S&P 500
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in 1999, James Glassman and Kevin Hassett published a book called "Dow 36,000"....
answer
The sum of the share prices of all 30 Dow Jones Members will triple
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What is the prime reason that Jenny's discretionary income is more volatile than her salary?
answer
Her mortgage payments and necessities are fixed
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A wedding planning company has a high fixed-cost base and a lot of debt. Who would you rather be?
answer
A shareholder in a booming economy.
question
The S&P 500 stood at 1848 at the end of 2013. According to the chart, what would the approximate return be on the S&P 500....
answer
170%
question
Assuming that an investor in the S&P 500 reinvests his dividends. According to the chart,.....
answer
200%
question
Why are equities volatile?
answer
Due to the residual nature of earnings
question
Which of the following statements is true?
answer
When you buy an equity, the most you can lose is 100% and your potential gain is unlimited.
question
In the example highlighting the differences between bond holders and shareholders, we equated surgeon Jenny......
answer
D
question
You buy the stock of four consumer goods companies at the end of 2004 and hold them until August 2010.....
answer
Procter & Gamble
question
What does the release of earnings announcements have in common with the release of economic indicators?
answer
Both are estimated in advance by analysts.
question
The number at the bottom right of each supplier's box shows the portion of Boeing's total costs in the last year that went to that supplier...
answer
United Continental
question
Which company is most exposed to the ups and downs of the aircraft engine industry?
answer
MTU Aero Engines
question
Engines are the most expensive, heavy component on an aircraft and are designed with detailed specifications. Which of the following would likely be the best theme for a Rolls-Royce analyst research note to help a portfolio manager decide between investing in Rolls-Royce or United Technologies?
answer
A comparison of the commercial prospects of new aircraft models
question
You are building a financial model of a bifocal lens manufacturer. Which of the following is the best driver to use?
answer
Median age of society
question
Here is a table from the Bloomberg Intelligence aluminum dashboard which shows the different end-uses of aluminum in China.....
answer
China's Aluminum Demand Weathers Real-Estate Slowdown so far
question
When an analyst is looking at a company for the first time, which of the following four activities does he do first?
answer
Defines the industry or industries in which the company operates.
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Here is a table from the Bloomberg Intelligence copper dashboard which shows the different end-users of the "red metal."....
answer
China's construction of....
question
Here is a breakdown of post-it note inventor 3M's revenue by industry. Which of the following industry drivers....
answer
The change in postal Volumes
question
Company X was expected to have earnings per share of $0.52 for the upcoming quarter. On the day of the results, the company reported earnings per share of $0.83. What happened to the share price when the stock market opened?
answer
There is not enough information to tell.
question
Which company is worth more, Coca-Cola or Pepsi?
answer
Coca-Cola because it has a higher market capitalization
question
Widget Co has a market capitalization of $100 million. it does a 10-for-1 stock split. it then does a 1-for-16 reverse stock split. Finally, it does a 35-for-1 stock split. Nothing else changes. what's the new market cap?
answer
$100 million
question
What input do both absolute valuation and relative valuation typically require?
answer
Short-term forecasts
question
Which of the following is most likely to be the most challenging part of this first step of the absolute valuation process?
answer
Making the assumptions upon which the project future performance
question
What is a reason one discounts future cash flows as part of the absolute valuation process?
answer
Future profits are uncertain.
question
What role does beta play in absolute valuation>
answer
It determines how risky a stock is in comparison to the overall stock market
question
Here is the capital structure of Microsoft. What part of the $42.03 share price (to the nearest dollar) is represented by cash?
answer
$11
question
How is enterprise value calculated?
answer
Enterprise value = market cap - cash + debt
question
Which of the following stocks is most sensitive to the movement of the overall stock?
answer
Amazon
question
Which of the following assigns the same relative weightings to short-term and long-term outcomes as the absolute valuation process?
answer
A fishery exceeding fishing quotas
question
Here is the WACC function for US drug company Pfizer....What is the WACC?
answer
8.2%
question
A rise in which of the following inputs will increase an absolute valuation?
answer
Earnings estimates
question
how do earnings yields differ from bond yields?
answer
The cash flow from equities can continue indefinitely while the cash flow from most bonds comes to an end.
question
At its peak at the end of 1999, Microsoft has a market cap of $600B. PC sales were booming and most PCs ran on Microsoft software.....
answer
The decline in P/E ratio more than offset earning growth and this pushed the market cap down
question
What is one possible weakness of this peer approach to valuation?
answer
The estimated growth can be dramatically wrong.
question
What may be a problem of comparing the P/E of a stock to the P/E of the overall market?
answer
A stock's P/E ratio can remain above or below market average for extended periods.
question
Here is a chart of the Nasdaq Composite, the world's main technology index. It peaked in the dotcom bubble on March 10, 2000. The P/E....
answer
Earnings grew substantially, meaning that the P/E ratio in early 2015 was only around 30.3x
question
The World Equity index function shown contains two valuation metrics for the S&P 500. The Nike description page contain the same two valuation metrics.
answer
Nike is more expensive than the S&P 500 on both a P/E and dividend yield basis
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If the earnings per share of a company is $1 and the earnings yield is 2%, What is the price per share?
answer
$50.00
question
This chart shows a scatterplot with the x-axis being the estimated sales growth and the y-axis being the estimated P/E multiple....
answer
Chubb